Exotic species risk modelling
- The problem
- Introduction to risk modelling
- Opportunities for spatially explicit risk assessments
- Canadian example applications: European larch canker
- Canadian example applications: Scleroderris
- Canadian example applications: Dung beetle
- Conclusions, acknowledgement and references
Introduction to risk modelling
Risk analysis is a precursor to the development of policies and tactical strategies to deal with emerging problems. Such analysis should bring together data and expertise to synthesize possible impacts. Comprehensive Pest Risk analysis should ideally consider factors such as life cycles, including adaptability, geographical distributions and potential distribution, hosts, control options and records of eradication, methods of spread and transport and, broadly speaking, possible socio-economic implications. Given this breadth, there is no standard analytical methodology or toolkit to undertake exotic pest risk analyses.
Project status
- On-going